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Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ)

Short Definition:

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ) evaluates a team's shooting efficacy (adjOFF SQ) and defensive prowess (adjDEF SQ) adjusted for strength of schedule (teams facing tougher opponents see ratings adjust favorably, while those against weaker foes show a decline).


Long Definition:

What is Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ)?

At its core, adj SQ is all about leveling the playing field. It gives you a richer, more nuanced look at ShotQuality by adjusting for the 'strength of schedule.' In simple terms, it considers who you're playing against. This is a two-sided coin:

  1. Adjusted Offensive Shot Quality (adjOFF SQ): This measures how well a team is shooting, but gives you a more accurate picture by considering the quality of the defenses they've played against. If a team has faced mostly weak defenses, their adjOFF SQ will be lower than their raw Offensive Shot Quality. It keeps things real, folks!

  2. Adjusted Defensive Shot Quality (adjDEF SQ): This is the flip sideโ€”how well a team is defending, again adjusted for the quality of offenses they've faced. Playing against top-notch offenses? Your adjDEF SQ will be higher, recognizing the tougher competition.

How to Read the adj SQ Ratings?

We've broken down the ratings into categories to make them super easy to interpret:

Adjusted Offensive Shot Quality (adjOFF SQ) Ratings Table

Rating

adjOFF SQ

Excellent

1.20 or more

Great

1.15

Above Average

1.10

Average

1.05

Below Average

1

Poor

0.95

Awful

0.9 or less

Adjusted Defensive Shot Quality (adjDEF SQ) Ratings Table

Rating

adjDEF SQ

Excellent

0.9 or less

Great

0.95

Above Average

1

Average

1.05

Below Average

1.10

Poor

1.15

Awful

1.20 or more

Wrapping It Up

So, when you hear "Adjusted ShotQuality Difference," it's just the difference between adjOFF SQ and adjDEF SQ for a team, along with how they rank compared to the rest of the league for that time period.

Think of it like a balanced diet of basketball statsโ€”sure, you could just eat ice cream (or rely on raw Shot Quality), but wouldn't you rather have a full, balanced meal (adj SQ) that tells you everything you need to know?


Technical Definition:

  • Offensive rating is points scored per 100 possessions

  • Defensive rating is points allowed per 100 possessions

  • ShotQuality offensive rating is expected points scored per 100 possessions

  • ShotQuality defensive rating is expected points allowed per 100 possessions

  • Net rating is net points (points scored minus points allowed) per 100 possessions

  • ShotQuality net rating is expected net points (expected points scored minus expected points allowed) per 100 possessions

The "adjusted" version of any of these metrics increases or decreases the metric based on strength of schedules. Teams facing strong competition will experience an improvement (increase to offense, decrease to defense, increase to net), teams facing weak competition will experience a decline (decrease to offense, increase to defense, decrease to net).


See on: ShotQualityWire, ShotQuality, ShotQualityBets

Used On: Glossary, TeamStandings, StatsExplained