Winning Metrics Glossary

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ)

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ) evaluates a team's shooting efficacy (adjOFF SQ) and defensive prowess (adjDEF SQ) adjusted for strength of schedule (teams facing tougher opponents see ratings adjust favorably, while those against weaker foes show a decline).

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQuality ShotQualityBets

Used On: Glossary, TeamStandings, StatsExplained

ShotQuality Points Per Possession (SQPPP)

For players:

  • Expected points scored per scoring opportunity (a true shooting attempt)

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets ShotQuality

Used On: Glossary, StatsExplained

SQ Under%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went under the projected total from the sportsbooks.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Over Win %

Percent of times the team went over the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "over bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game. Before a game starts, oddsmakers will set a predicted total score for both teams combined. Bettors can then wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that predicted total.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Win%

Percent of games won in the season

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the ShotQuality score differential. For example, if the sportsbooks have a team expected to win by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 4 the team covered. Conversely, if the sportsbooks have a team losing by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 2 the underdog covered.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Favorite Win %

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game favorite. A favorite is the the team or player that is expected to win, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The favorite is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Favorite Win%

The winning percentage when the team was favored by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Over%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went over the projected total from the sportsbooks.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game underdog. An underdog is the the team or player that is expected to lose, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The underdog is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was an underdog by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Under Win %

Percent of times the team went under the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "under bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game.

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the spread set by the sportsbooks regardless of whether they are the favorite or the underdog. For example, if the favorite is expected to win by 3 (spread is -3) and they win by 4 the favorite covered. Conversely, if the underdog is expected to lose by 3 (+3) and the ShotQuality Score had them lose by 2 the underdog covered.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, BettingRecord

Total Score

The combined score of both teams in any given basketball game. This is graded against to determine the winner of over & under bets.

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Projections, BestBets, Glossary

Score

When using the Daily Projections tool, this column shows the projected score from the ShotQualityBets Model of the team to the left of the column.

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Projections, Glossary

Points of Value

The difference, in points, between the current betting line and what the ShotQualityBets model projects the line to be.

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Selected Book

The selected book column updates lines and prices when you change what sports book's odds you area showing on the Daily Projections tool. Showing any selected book, Consensus, or the auto calculated Best Line.

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Side With Value

This indicates which side of a betting line the ShotQualityBets model is showing value on. Combine this with Points of Value to get the complete picture!

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Players, Glossary, Results

ROI

Also Known As: Return on Investment - the raw percent relationship between how much you have risked (invested) and how much you have returned.

See on: ShotQualityWire

Used On: Results, BettingRecord, ModelSandbox, Glossary

ShotQuality Projection
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Play
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Play Line Value
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

>X POV
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Glossary, Projections

Consensus
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityBets ShotQualityWire

Used On: Projections, Glossary

Projected
Short definition needed

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: Projections, Glossary

SQ Win%

Percent of games won in the season according to the ShotQuality Score which is based on the team's expected performance.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

ShotQuality (SQ) Record

Expected wins and losses for a team, considering the quality of shots taken and allowed.

See on: ShotQualityWire ShotQualityBets

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings