WNBA Betting Analysis

TeamRecordSQ RecordWin%SQ Win%Over Win %Under Win %Favorite Win %Underdog Win%
Las Vegas Aces34 -729 -1282%70%56%41%86%78%
New York Liberty33 -828 -1380%68%56%43%68%94%
Connecticut Sun27 -1325 -1567%62%50%47%63%72%
Dallas Wings22 -1828 -1255%70%60%40%50%64%
Atlanta Dream19 -2117 -2347%42%42%57%60%18%
Minnesota Lynx19 -2116 -2447%40%57%42%57%25%
Washington Mystics19 -2116 -2447%40%40%57%44%53%
Chicago Sky18 -2215 -2545%37%47%50%58%9%
Los Angeles Sparks17 -2325 -1542%62%42%57%40%41%
Indiana Fever13 -2718 -2232%45%45%50%29%37%
Seattle Storm11 -2916 -2427%40%47%50%36%13%
Phoenix Mercury9 -318 -3222%20%47%50%14%41%

Winning Metrics

SQ Under%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went under the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Over Win %

Percent of times the team went over the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "over bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game. Before a game starts, oddsmakers will set a predicted total score for both teams combined. Bettors can then wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that predicted total.

Win%

Percent of games won in the season

SQ Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the ShotQuality score differential. For example, if the sportsbooks have a team expected to win by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 4 the team covered. Conversely, if the sportsbooks have a team losing by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 2 the underdog covered.

Favorite Win %

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game favorite. A favorite is the the team or player that is expected to win, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The favorite is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

SQ Favorite Win%

The winning percentage when the team was favored by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

SQ Over%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went over the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game underdog. An underdog is the the team or player that is expected to lose, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The underdog is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

SQ Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was an underdog by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

Under Win %

Percent of times the team went under the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "under bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game.

Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the spread set by the sportsbooks regardless of whether they are the favorite or the underdog. For example, if the favorite is expected to win by 3 (spread is -3) and they win by 4 the favorite covered. Conversely, if the underdog is expected to lose by 3 (+3) and the ShotQuality Score had them lose by 2 the underdog covered.

SQ Win%

Percent of games won in the season according to the ShotQuality Score which is based on the team's expected performance.

ShotQuality (SQ) Record

Expected wins and losses for a team, considering the quality of shots taken and allowed.